TEHRAN (Reuters) - Tehran has received a message from European capitals,
Iranian-American deal: Tehran will respond
The region is still preoccupied with the prospect of an Iranian response to the Israeli targeting of the Tifour airport, in which seven Iranian soldiers were killed. While the Iranians confirm their willingness to respond and wait for the right moment, there is other information that the international negotiations factor is firmly on the line to curb the escalation between Iran and Israel. There is no doubt that the escalation will be linked to the political and field situation in Syria and in the region. US President Donald Trump plans to announce his position on the nuclear deal next month, as well as the transfer of the US embassy from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem. Which would allow Tehran to have the option of retaliation from within the Palestinian territories, if the response from Syria or Lebanon is unlikely.
The information indicates that the Americans do not want any escalation with Iran now. There are attempts at a settlement between Washington and Moscow to avoid any Iranian response. This leads to the view that Israeli interests do not always coincide with US interests. Tel Aviv has used a progressive air inside the United States and some changes in the US administration, and has been beaten, considering it is capable of changing the rules of the game. It is forbidden for Hezbollah and Iran to transfer unconventional weapons to areas close to occupied Palestine. A center that threatens Israeli security in the Syrian south. In contrast, Americans have other goals.
It is true that Russia, America and Israel have an interest in curbing Iran's influence in Syria, but that does not mean giving Israel a chance to blow up the situation. This must be achieved through political negotiations and based on Russian pressure on Iran. Here, follow-up sources indicate that the Americans sent information through the Russians to the Iranians, that there is no need to respond to the bombing of the airport, in exchange for the search for a political settlement. There are far-flung contacts between the Russians and the Americans, to find this compromise. Noting that this coincides with Trump's position on withdrawing from Syria and the formation of Arab forces to deploy in the east of the Euphrates.
The Iranians are not content to pass the strike without a response, regardless of the form and manner of the response. But the Russians are interfering strongly and are pressing the Iranians not to respond, because the situation does not allow any escalation. Tehran has accurate calculations in Syria, and its area of movement is not absolute, so it is unable to change the game and its bases in Syria. In Lebanon there is an exclusion to respond, because it is not in Iran's interest to strain the atmosphere on the doors of the elections. Iran may respond by means of an explosive device or a missile, but to save face only, not to escalate the situation on the front, because it wants to reserve the right to respond so as not to devote the principle of permanent targeting. The exclusion of this response can be achieved only through a greater agreement with Tehran, shared by Washington and Moscow.
It is true that Iran is starting from a certain principle, but in recent years many considerations and calculations have to be taken into account. They can not operate under open skies. There is a roof that can not be overlooked. This is in addition to the internal situation that is pressing Iran economically and financially. Therefore, it can not escalate into the region. This is part of the European advice that reaches Iran for not escalating and not giving Trump reasons for escalation, especially with regard to the nuclear agreement. Iran is still able to manipulate time, because it is in its interest, unlike the forces opposing it. As long as it holds the land in Syria, it will remain the decision maker. Any entry into Arab forces means entering into a new battle of attrition. Iran will have the upper hand, because the American withdrawal means a new confrontation between Iran and the Arabs. It is the foundation of Trump's famous statement that the United States will not fight for its allies.
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