What passed died" - the past will not be returned...!
Written by / Hatem Babiker Awad Al-Karim
# Nen dreams of a bloody change that does not love the country.
# He who dreams of change isolating some of the countrymen does not support stability.
# Whoever dreams of change does not establish a state of citizenship and justice has not learned the lesson yet...
Whoever dreams of change replaces an oppressor with an oppressor, we tell him the lesson is over, ignorant.
He absorbed the past political passion and the political ideology that moved some to neglect the objective reality and leap for their dreams, that is, to walk in the footsteps of the rescue, a step taken by the regime towards bringing about any breakthrough in the worsening national crisis in Sudan. I do not understand that a radical change will occur unless its elements are present, which I value in the following:
- Objective conditions confirm the inability of the regime to continue, no matter what plastic surgery it does.. Stubborn facts say that the internal political behavior of the regime shows that it lacks credibility in front of the people, but at the end of the equation it is accepted by the international system with its eastern capitalist center “China and Russia” and its American and European centers .. whatever happens Those who are delusional about criminality, sanctions, siege, etc., the operations of blackmailing the regime by the West will continue to lose its importance until it loses its importance and self-collapse, and is replaced by international powers with an interest within the framework of the ruling powers and the dominant class as long as the opposition forces adhere to ideologies and the approach of the regime in Khartoum is the model that Western powers need as it is better. A field of experiments for the West's plans towards Africa, the Middle East and the Third World.
- Subjective conditions related to the people and their political movement. Yes, the people abhor the regime and have hatred for it unless a Sudanese regime reciprocates it throughout the history of the modern Sudanese state, but it did not move against it as an interconnected historical bloc that does not accept anything but to carry it willingly or unwillingly to the dustbin of history, which confirms that the regime still serves the interests of a broad bloc. "He may be incapable of absorbing and employing them." The facts are that there are forces that have an interest in the continuation of the regime and in the behavior of the mortgage. If the regime falls, they will strive to preserve the nature of the regime and the interests it supports... As for the political forces opposing the regime, most of them agree with the regime in strategies and differ with it in tactics. Zawaida, for which the field of experiments for the "civilizational project", "the application of Sharia" and other vocabulary of the literature of the historical political Islam represents that broad umbrella that includes the popular, the national, the federal nation, and even the traditional communist party.
- The inability of the ruling elite to exercise power, and this does not apply to the Sudanese case - now - as there is still a wide spectrum desiring rule, power, ministries, participation, and agreement to play the role of an alternative in supporting the "thorn" ruler, just as the events of September 2013 proved that the regime, in the darkest of circumstances, possesses initiatives And the maneuvers that make him take the initiative in managing the national crisis, so the political forces retreated and the people found themselves defenseless. The manufacture of military regimes was delusions of the "trial of the May coup plotters" and the right turned it into an opportunity to search for his rights and the entitlements of individuals "compensations of the Mahdi family" The Sudanese political street does not seek a decisive exit for fears of the organization ready to plunder the possibility of change "the National Democratic Assembly" and the alliance of traditional parties and other bodies ready made.
An objective reading of the Sudanese political situation confirms that the current circumstance of the regime is the best time for political maneuvering. The Islamic world suffers from sectarian rivalry between the Gulf and Iran axes (Shia and Sunni). Khartoum has become accustomed to making the most of the contradictions of Riyadh and Tehran, which are more clearly reflected in vital regions such as Egypt, Syria, Iraq and Yemen. And others... The crisis of the political conflict in the state of South Sudan has many positive results for the regime, the most important of which is the disintegration of the unity of the Revolutionary Front and its loss of the ability to be effective in the possibility of dealing with the crisis through armed struggle and revolutionary violence
Those who view the political initiative that may be launched by the President of the Republic, Omar Hassan Ahmed Al-Bashir, as stemming from political impotence and a total failure in political management, that is, the initiative is based on a sense of weakness, political frustration, and the inability to tolerate a partner, even for the sake of beauty. We see the exact opposite. The regime is now able to get rid of its head and tries as much as possible in a stage of strength that makes it able to get rid of its weaknesses (the president). That is, it has a sincere desire to reproduce itself as a regime capable of behaving flexibly to reach the highest stages of cohesion, and this is possible through a palace coup. Or a movement of the army that employs the parties to activate the street and the palace coup is the uprising.
My assessment is that the sudden “initiative” that the political street is talking about and that the President of the Republic is expected to launch will be a declaration of initiative and initiative in bringing about transformations in the system with the aim of greater empowerment and unilateralism in managing the political crisis, because it is not possible for him to relinquish power in favor of the class through dialogue or participation, as he does not carry Guarantees that allow for limited changes that allow for a free and free transitional government. In any transitional government, the National Conference will have the supreme word because of the presence of Al-Bashir. Therefore, there will be no benefit from the dialogue. It will become a mere maneuver. Any national committee for the constitution, even if its chairman is Prime Minister Sadiq Al-Mahdi and its rapporteur is Dr. Hassan Al-Turabi, who participates in it. Ghazi Salah al-Din, you will not write a constitution that contradicts the concepts of Ali Othman Muhammad Taa, Ibrahim Ghandour, and Dr. Nafie Ali Nafie. Even if the intercessor Khader Saeed, Ali al-Raih al-Sanhouri, Muhammad Diaa al-Din, Mubarak al-Fadil, and Ibrahim participated in this committee... the inevitable result of any openness of the regime to the various opposing forces Its currents are more effectiveness and expansion of a supportive base without addressing his weakness, as long as Al-Bashir sits still and does not allow the distortion to be addressed.
* Whoever dreams of a bloody change does not love the homeland.
* He who dreams of change and isolates some of the countrymen does not support stability.
* Whoever dreams of change does not establish the citizen's state and justice has not learned the lesson yet...
* Whoever dreams of change will replace an oppressor with an oppressor, we tell him the lesson is over, ignorant.
9 / February / 2014
Comments
Post a Comment