The framework agreement and the idea of building the state (2)
Written by / Hatem Babiker Awad Al-Karim.
(If the French Revolution were destined to be repeated continually, French historians would be less proud of Robespierre. But, since they are talking about something that comes back again, the bloody years become mere words, theories and arguments, they become lighter than horror and are no longer frightening. There is a huge difference between Robespierre who was not He appears only once in history, and Robespierre returns permanently to cut off the heads of the French.
Milan Kundera - Being Unbearable Lightness.
* different transmission:
The organization of the transitional period in the uprising (December 2018 - April 2019) is in the same way that the transitional period was organized in October 1964 and the transitional period in April 1985 AD. The regional and international levels create degrees that do not allow for any conformity in atmospheres and transitional measures. October 1964 came at a quiet moment in the Cold War and a regional role for the nationalist trend (Nasserist + Baathist). As for the 1985 uprising, it came after the Iranian revolution and the escalation of the role of Islamic currents and the influence of the Gulf states on wealth and oil and their control over the oil industry. Directions for the development of the region, just as the international system began to tip the balance of the Cold War in favor of the American and European West, so the transition measures were committed to the leadership of the army (the military council), unlike the transition measures in October 1964 AD.
Intifada (2018-2019) was surrounded by international conditions that control international politics and the Gulf leads the region in the Middle East, and internal transformations related to the revolution of the margins (Darfur, Kordofan and the Blue Nile), the secession of southern Sudan, the establishment of the state of South Sudan that supports the margins, and the impact of the internationalization of the Sudanese crisis, and it became the focus of activity of the African Union and the Council security, Mbeki’s initiatives, and the directions of the United Nations to reach consensual solutions, so when the uprising broke out in December 2018, I found a situation that was originally internationalized and there was no option for me to put transition measures through regional and international means, so the transition measures were not similar or close to previous experiences, just as any uprising might explode There will not be a duplicate of Uprising (2018 - 2019).
The framework agreement is considered an entry point for a national document that establishes the political future and national stability and is capable of development, upgrading and upgrading.
* If a new regime supported the military establishment, it would be different from the previous regimes:
Sudan witnessed, during its independence era so far: (1956-2023 AD) three democracies, three interventions of the military establishment, and four transitional periods.
The framework agreement is a national document capable of evolving into a governing document for the transitional period that expresses cooperation between national institutions and regional and international powers with an interest in achieving political stability and economic movement.
The transitional regime that could result from the framework agreement is not similar to the transitional periods in October 1964 and April 1985 AD, and the transitional period that began after the uprising (December 2018-2019) after the framework agreement will differ. As the three military interventions were not, the first was led by seniors and generals in the November regime, and definitely the two ideological interventions in The May 1969 and June 1989 regimes are different from the two military interventions that took place in April 1985 and April 2019, in terms of strategic objectives and internal and external influences.
If the regional and international balances become available or change, then it becomes imperative for the military to intervene, which will form a regime that is not similar to what happened in the US, the Salvation Army, or November, as it is certain that there will not be a repetition of what preceded the army’s interventions to reorganize politics.
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