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Economic expert Sidqi Kablo----the energy crisis is not temporary

ربما تحتوي الصورة على: ‏‏‏‏شخص أو أكثر‏، و‏‏لحية‏، و‏نظارة شمسية‏‏‏ و‏نشاطات في أماكن مفتوحة‏‏‏
Economic expert Sidqi Kablo
Read the statement of the Minister of Energy before the National Council: the energy crisis is not temporary
Oil revenues flow to the public treasury and oil is not enough domestic consumption
There is no hope of increasing domestic production of government debt to invested companies
Submit
The state of the Sudanese people do not present the facts as they are and this is one of the reasons for the aggravation of the problems and the inability to take solutions. The current fuel crisis is not a temporary crisis and it is on its way to become an energy crisis, not only gasoline and gasoline, but gasoline, gasoline, gas and electricity. Industry and services. Without putting the bare facts before our eyes and trying to find possible solutions.
Some of these facts can be reached if we read between the DOE actual performance for the second half of 2017 and the first quarter of 2018.
Our oil production is not enough:
15.6 million barrels were produced by 68% of the plan in the second half of 2017. According to the report, this is due to several reasons, including the reluctance of partners to inject new investments, the non-payment of operating expenses due to the shortage of foreign exchange and the accumulation of government debt to partners.
Since this production is not sufficient for domestic consumption, 115,000 metric tons were imported by 38% of the plan to cover the deficit. This quantity was not sufficient to complete the planned quantities of strategic stocks. However, 62.3 thousand metric tons of the country's gasoline product were exported according to an agreement signed between the two countries.
That the production of oil in Sudan has decreased to 7 million barrels of crude by performance of 75% in the first quarter of 2018, which led to the increase of the importer to 586 thousand metric tons, an increase of 351 thousand tons for the first quarter of 2017 and an increase of 473 thousand metric tons For all imports in the second half of 2017. However, the export of gasoline to Ethiopia continued, and we exported 34.4 metric tons in the first quarter of this year.
It simply shows that the oil we produce is not enough. It is being cut annually because there is no new investment because foreign investment companies are demanding their government and government payouts so much so that an Indian company asking for $ 400 million has decided to seek arbitration in London. The government, despite its huge revenues from produced oil and South oil fees, which is still passing through Sudan, does not provide productive companies with operating capital in local and foreign currencies. Foreign companies are not encouraged by the low world oil price to inject new investments into the exploration and extraction of oil in Sudan.
Transport and storage crisis
The oil sector is not only facing a production crisis but suffers from a transport and storage crisis because the plans to develop transport and storage are not implemented or implemented very slowly. For example, the implementation of the pipeline for the transfer of oil to the civilian, which is an important line to provide fuel for irrigated agriculture and the island area, For inadequate production and supply of pipes "(p. 5 of the Ministry's report).
The government wins
Despite the low production, the government is winning. In the second half of 2017, the government received about LE 4.6 billion in revenues for the sale of domestic crude, 8 billion pounds on taxes on petroleum products, 251.9 million dollars on South oil and an estimated 316.6 million dollars Of South Oil Partners.
In the first quarter of 2018, the proceeds of the sale of crude amounted to about 7.3 billion pounds and the taxes were collected by 100% (not mentioned in size), while the South Oil was collected 63.4 of the partners and transferred for their debts to the Sudan and collect 120 million dollars from the transfer of oil Government the South.
The government wins from the sector and does not work to save money for it to develop and does not pay the partners to resume their work, prompting the ministry to recommend solving these problems.
Import concern and the continuation of the crisis and its escalation
The risk of this situation is that we face a big problem: providing foreign exchange to import our growing needs because of the shortage of our domestic production and because of our annual consumption increase. This means that the government will face constant pressure to provide foreign exchange and even oil competition for fuel, wheat and production inputs.
1- To rationalize the consumption of petroleum and this means a) stop the import of new vehicles and the exit of vehicles from the service b) determine the disbursement of special vehicles from fuel and return to the system of cards and exchange days c) provide local and foreign currency to develop our oil production
2- To start seriously investing in alternative energies, especially solar energy
3. Review the agreement with Ethiopia for the export of gasoline.
4. Accelerate railway repair plans until costly land transport is replaced
5. Raise the efficiency of the oil sector workers and stop the policy of enabling and restoring qualified workers and professionals in all sectors of energy, petroleum and electricity.

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